Research interests
The climate change impact on the relationship between regional weather anomalies and prevailing atmospheric circulation types in Baltic region. The main goal would be to answer the question how formation of weather anomalies has changed due to changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns during historical period in the South-Eastern Baltic region. The first step would include an analysis of the classifications that are under German Weather Service supervision: a) the objective classification of circulation types and b) the subjective classification of large scale circulation types in Europe (Hess – Brezowsky). In the second step it is planned to use the backward trajectory analysis for studying the air mass advection impact on regional/ local weather anomalies. Another part of theme should cover the analysis of the frequency of atmospheric circulation types in the Baltic region in different periods of the 21st century with the aid of outputs of climate models and their ensembles.
Annotation of the doctoral dissertation
The research would focus more on the changing formation conditions of the specific weather anomalies in different historical periods, rather than on adaptation of the specific classification for a given region. The main problem of the successful implementation of proposed topic’s objectives is the complexity of quantitative criteria required for the formation of a specific type of weather anomaly in particular area or region. The expected research results are directly related to the diagnostics and prediction the climate change impact effects on the relationship between atmospheric circulation and local/ regional weather.
